Reporting

Costin Roe Consulting devised the civil engineering strategy to support a proposal by DEXUS to continue industrial development in a former quarry. The report authored by Costin Roe director, Mark Wilson B Eng (Civil) B Surv ME CPEng, would assist to facilitate completion of the original master plan for the site.

Greystanes Estate is a 156-hectare area within the SEL (Southern Employment Lands) precinct of western Sydney, positioned between the cities of Parramatta to the east, Blacktown to the north, Penrith to the west, and Liverpool to the south. The majority of the eastern portion of the SEL has been developed into a high-quality industrial and business park, valued by corporate occupants and employees for its proximity to public transport, cycleways, and the M4, M5, and M7 motorways – the Sydney CBD only 33 minutes’ drive away. Greystanes Estate has been publicly renamed “Quarry at Greystanes” since the first stages of development were completed.

About DEXUS and Greystanes Estate

Quarry Greystanes location map

Map showing Quarry site in relation to major cities of western Sydney.

DEXUS is one of the largest listed owners and managers of industrial properties in Australia. Known for working in partnership with their customers, and construction specialists, DEXUS’ mission is to deliver industry-benchmark property solutions tailored to the specific needs of manufacturing, logistics, and warehousing organisations. Existing DEXUS developments within Greystanes Estate include a distribution centre of 20,000 m² with associated office spaces of 1000 m² and 500 m², completed in 2012.

The 2016 proposal by DEXUS would represent the final parcel of land in the industrial precinct of the Estate to be developed – an area of 25.6-hectares on the western side referred to as “Lot 18” in documentation and called “Quarry West”. As the final stages (5 and 6) of the approved concept plan for the entire site, development approval for Lot 18 would bring to completion the rehabilitation and re-purposing of the large open-pit quarry which Greystanes Estate once was. The quarry had provided crushed rock and blue metal for road and building construction across Sydney.

Costin Roe Consulting appointed to provide civil engineering services

Quarry Greystanes live webcam

Watch live webcam of the Quarry industrial centre at Greystanes.

Costin Roe Consulting has been involved with previous developments at Greystanes Estate including industrial complexes for Solaris Paper and Symbion Health, and was commissioned by DEXUS to report on the civil engineering and storm-water management aspects associated with the proposed subdivision and development of Lot 18. Approval to proceed would eventually culminate in the construction of several large-scale industrial buildings and depend on successful completion of numerous subdivision and infrastructure requirements. Classified as a “major project” for approval with NSW Department Of Planning and Environment (DoPE), Lot 18 also needed to meet the engineering and planning requirements of both Holroyd City Council and Blacktown City Council, within the context of the approved Masterplan Strategy for the Greystanes SEL, the expansive area of Lot 18 straddling the two council jurisdictions.

Mark Wilson, Director, Costin Roe Consulting

Mark Wilson, B Eng (Civil) B Surv ME CPEng, Director, Costin Roe Consulting

“As civil engineers engaged in support for the development application, our objectives were to create a development site which respected the proposed architectural layout, responded to the topography and site constraints, and provided an appropriate and economical stormwater management system,” said Mark Wilson. “The development would need to incorporate best practice in water-sensitive urban design, consistent with the water quality requirements of both councils.”

The report and engineering design by Costin Roe Consulting would refer to earlier studies and reports made in relation to the whole Greystanes Estate site by engineering firms including PSM, PB, and GHD; the Landcom publication Managing Urban Stormwater, Soils and Construction (1998) – The Blue Book; the Institution of Engineers, Australia publication Australian Rainfall and Runoff (1988 Edition), Volumes 1 and 2 (AR&R), and the NSW Department of Environment and Conservation document Managing Urban Stormwater: Harvesting and Reuse.

Unique site history presenting uncommon challenges

quarry-greystanes-ground-shot-1200

View of earthworks underway at DEXUS development site, Greystanes.

Located on the eastern edge of Prospect Hill, extensive quarrying for approximately 100 years had left Lot 18 with an irregular, crater-like topography. Historically, as part of quarrying operations, several areas of the site had been filled in an uncontrolled manner using a variety of materials at depths of up to 32m. The western boundary of the development area is formed by the walls of the former quarry and these walls extend some 40-50m above the proposed developed site levels. One section of walling had partially collapsed due to a landslip that occurred decades ago.

From 2001, however, there had been controlled filling of the site at certain intervals, and of the four areas subjected to uncontrolled filling during the site’s long operational history, three areas were previously determined as suitable for industrial loading without additional working.

Effective, economical civil engineering strategies

Mark Wilson determined that an additional 500,000-600,000m³ of fill would be required to bring the land to proposed levels through earthworks to be undertaken by CWJ Civil on behalf of Boral Pty Ltd, operators of the former quarry now helping to facilitate easier development by DEXUS, with roughly half of this requirement able to be met through the redistribution of suitable fill available on-site.

Symbion Health

Symbion Health facility developed by DEXUS at Quarry Greystanes, civil and structural engineering by Costin Roe Consulting.

The objectives with the earthworks were to allow the construction of the large flat building pads required for industrial use, with building levels above the 1 in 100-year (“Q100”) average recurring interval (“ARI”) flood level; facilitate site access to the proposed development site from nearby Reconciliation Road and the proposed internal road network; drain the stormwater from the development site, and facilitate the eventual industrial land-use applications. The steep embankments formed by the former quarry walls on the western side of the site would be stabilised, and the subsided section also remediated.

It was advised that the conditions of the site would need to be taken into account with building design. Pad footings would be suitable for foundations on controlled fill or rock, limited to a maximum safe bearing value, and piering would only be required to support buildings with high loads or tolerances over areas of uncontrolled fill. Comprehensive recommendations were also made by Costin Roe, in conjunction with the geotechnical consultants PSM, for the construction of slabs and pavements, site management requirements, erosion and sediment control, road widths and alignments, road pavement construction, and pedestrian facilities.

Emphasis on water conservation and water quality

DEXUS development Quarry Greystanes 2012

Solaris Paper facility developed by DEXUS at Quarry Greystanes, civil and structural engineering by Costin Roe Consulting.

Prior to preparation for development by DEXUS the site had no formal stormwater management or drainage. The design needed to incorporate the principles of Water Sensitive Urban Design (“WSUD”) to target the pollutants present in the stormwater so as to minimise the adverse impact these pollutants could have on the receiving waters, such as Prospect Creek. Collected roof water is generally free of pollutants, but a bio-retention system would be needed to address the gross pollutants, sediments, nutrients and hydrocarbons that are typically present in stormwater runoffs from car parks, roadways, and paved areas. Rainwater harvesting would provide for re-use as part of future individual building development applications and minimise the site’s future reliance on potable water supplies for purposes like flushing toilets and irrigating landscaped areas.

Regarding flood management, often an issue with industrial building development in some low-lying areas of Sydney, the development lots of the future Lot 18 subdivision would not be subjected to localised flash flooding, nor would the overall estate be affected by any larger regional flooding issues. Buildings would need to be set at a level 500mm above the Q100 ARI water level. Assessment by Costin Roe Consulting confirmed that the overall perimeter drain design completed by GHD in the early planning stages would be able to contain the Q100 ARI storm flow. The perimeter drains were re-documented by Costin Roe and constructed as part of the Boral earthworks exercise once approval for the subdivision and preparation of the site for development was achieved. DEXUS has successfully constructed several facilities in the northern and western sectors of Greystanes Estate, Costin Roe Consulting being involved in either or both the civil and structural engineering.

Quarry West panorama view

Quarry Greystanes - west aerial view

2D flood modelling for report by Costin Roe Consulting

Commissioned by Altis Property Partners (developer), via Hansen Yuncken (project manager), Costin Roe Consulting undertook an overland flow (flood) assessment of 193 hectares of land in Orchard Hills, Sydney. The assessment was required to accompany an application for rezoning to facilitate the development of new industrial facilities on a 43.85-hectare subdivision.

2D TUFLOW hydrodynamic modelling by Costin Roe Consulting assisted in gaining the go-ahead for the proposed development – unlocking formerly unusable land to create business and employment opportunities, and improving the management of overland flow for the site and other land in the vicinity.

The assessment prepared by Mark Wilson, B Eng (Civil) B Surv ME CPEng, Associate Director (Civil Engineering) of Costin Roe Consulting, first involved building two-dimensional TUFLOW hydrodynamic modelling for peer review by Worley Parsons, the engineers of a flood study of the area by Penrith City Council. Assisting Mark Wilson with the detailed programming and configuration of the TUFLOW modelling was Mitchell Cross, one of Costin Roe Consulting’s team of flood modelling engineers with TUFLOW modelling engine expertise.

To achieve peer-reviewed validation, Costin Roe Consulting’s TUFLOW modelling was used by Mark Wilson to simulate the occurrence of a range of probable flooding scenarios on the area – in its undeveloped state – to show the accuracy of the firm’s two-dimensional modelling performance against the accepted numerical data.

2D flood modelling for report by Costin Roe Consulting

2D model of the 1% annual exceedance probability (1% AEP) flood levels in the Mamre West Precinct (before construction of the proposed development) as built by Costin Roe Consulting using TUFLOW hydrodynamic modelling technology.

Next, Mark Wilson used the validated TUFLOW modelling-build to calculate and illustrate the differences in flood levels, velocity, and general hydraulics for the same range of probable flooding scenarios following construction of the proposed development, which would happen in two stages.

Finally, the two-part assessment Overland Flow Report Stage 1 and Stage 2 by Costin Roe Consulting successfully informed the NSW Department of Planning & Environment, Penrith City Council, development partners, and various stakeholders on the mitigation and management of land overflow at the site during and after construction of each stage of the project.

As a result of the scenarios produced by the 2D TUFLOW modelling in the Costin Roe Consulting assessment, it was demonstrated that a large percentage of this flood-affected land could be developed, and was suitable for rezoning, which would allow the Altis-proposed industrial development to proceed.

Costin Roe Consulting’s mastery of the TUFLOW modelling engine, and expertise in producing two-dimensional simulations of floodwater behaviour pre/post-development, enabled everyone – including the broader community following exposure of the proposal – to more easily appreciate the benefits offered by the development proposed by Altis, and more favourably consider the statutory changes needed to allow civil works and construction to begin.

Area formerly categorised as ‘high hazard’ due to overland flow

The site proposed by Altis for the development of major new warehousing and logistics facilities was the 43.85 hectare subdivision of a larger parcel of land zoned ‘Rural Residential’. For the proposed development to be given the go-ahead, the State Environmental Planning Policy (Western Sydney Employment Area) 2009 would need to be amended, and the land rezoned ‘General Industrial’.

Located at 585-649 Mamre Road, Orchard Hills, the site lay within what is known as the Mamre West Precinct. The site was identified by Penrith City Council in the report known as the South Creek Flood Study (Worley Parsons) on the Mamre West Precinct as being affected by overland flow associated with adjacent South Creek.

During overland flow events as detailed in the South Creek Flood Study, floodwater on the undeveloped site would be shallow and of low velocity except for the north-west corner, where slow-moving water could potentially reach 1.1m in depth. This area had been categorised by Penrith City Council as a ‘high hazard’ zone.

With a residential area to the north of the proposed development, and Erskine Park Employment Area on the eastern side, Altis and its project partners would be compelled to show conclusively that the civil works planned to make the 43.85-hectare site viable for development would not increase the risk or hazard of inundation for properties neighbouring or upstream/downstream of the development when completed and the overland flow from South Creek re-occurred.

Development would provide new access road and formal drainage system

Mark Wilson, Associate Director (Civil Engineering), Costin Roe Consulting

Mark Wilson, BEng(Civil) BSurv ME CPEng, Associate Director of Costin Roe Consulting, took the lead role in the flood-modelling assessment for the proposed Altis development at Orchard Hills.

Costin Roe Consulting’s easy-to-understand TUFLOW modelling successfully demonstrated how the Altis development would ultimately mitigate and improve the management of overland flow on the site and surrounding area. This would be achieved via engineered land-filling and the building of infrastructure, including a formal drainage system, where none had existed before.

A new access road would be constructed as part of the development project and handed over to the City upon completion. Previously unusable land in a district with prime accessibility to greater Sydney would be made serviceable. More jobs would be located in the far western suburbs of Sydney, handy to residential population centres where the types of land suitable for new industrial developments are in short supply.

Rigorous examinations and consultations involving two levels of government

However, with the Department of Planning & Environment (NSW) the consent authority for zoning amendments under the State Environmental Planning Policy (Western Sydney Employment Area) 2009, and Penrith City Council as a key authority to be consulted due to Section C3.5 of Penrith City Council Development Control Plan 2014 and its guidelines for flood-liable lands, the development proposal had to satisfy rigorous examinations and consultative processes involving these authorities. This is where the external scrutiny of the Costin Roe Consulting 2D TUFLOW modelling-build by Worley Parsons helped meet the high standards of diligence applied by the two levels of government.

Positive feedback throughout the modelling process

“The Mamre Road flood assessment for Altis and Hansen Yuncken involved a high level of consultation with Penrith Council, NSW Department of Planning, and peer review by Worley Parsons. We received positive feedback throughout the modelling process,” said Mark Wilson of the Overland Flow Report Stage 1 and Stage 2 by Costin Roe Consulting. “We will be completing more 2D flood assessments of this nature in future.”

 

 

Ask about 2D TUFLOW modelling

Costin Roe Consulting was engaged by Investa, one of the largest property groups in Australia, to provide a condition report on the assets surrounding the planned redevelopment of 60 Martin Place, Sydney.

For Lee Carroll, MIEAust CPEng MEng, Senior Engineer (Remedial/Forensic), Costin Roe Consulting, this would mean first-hand examination of buildings, basements, vaults, tunnels, and some rarely-seen voids beneath the “civic heart” of Sydney.

Lee Carroll, Senior Engineer (Remedical/Forensics), Costin Roe Consulting

Lee Carroll inspects an abandoned 1920s railway tunnel beneath Martin Place, Sydney.

Vertical and horizontal stresses in the ground

The role of the engineer is essential in the project-planning of urban redevelopment. Demolishing a multi-storey building and excavating for basements removes weight from the site, which in turn relieves the vertical stresses on the subsoil and substratum below. Constructing a taller building on the same site produces greater vertical stresses than existed before. The spring-like movement of the ground during demolition and construction, if not properly assessed and managed from the outset, could potentially compromise the integrity of buildings and infrastructure nearby. Pre-development condition reports by experienced engineers are required for reliable reassurance and guidance, if necessary, to insurers, project partners, and the owners of surrounding buildings.

In urban Sydney there are not just the typical vertical stresses of demolition and construction for the engineer to consider, but also horizontal stresses caused by natural forces. There are fault lines running deep beneath the Sydney basin dating back to when New Zealand started breaking away from Australia more than 85 million years ago. The Australian continent is also moving northward, away from Antarctica, at the rate of 5.6cm per year.

“The horizontal stresses in Sydney affect rock excavation. The rocks can move between .5mm and 2mm per metre of excavation. If you excavate down 20 metres for a basement, the rock can move 20mm laterally,” said Lee Carroll.

Sixty Martin Place

Website for the $750 million “Sixty Martin Place”.

Redeveloping a non-descript building into a landmark

Investa’s proposal for the redevelopment of 60 Martin Place promised to transform an uninspiring, inefficient, 1970s-vintage office block of 28 storeys into a sustainable, contemporary 33-level complex with two additional basement levels. An international design competition was won by architects Hassell in February 2015. The condition report by Costin Roe Consulting would involve inspections of above-ground and below-ground assets within 50m of the boundary of the proposed redevelopment site.

On the corner of Macquarie Street and also Phillip Street, 60 Martin Place is right next to the heritage-listed St Stephens Uniting Church (1842) and the Seven Network’s Sydney News Centre. Just across the road, in Macquarie Street, is NSW Parliament House (1816) and Sydney Hospital (1811). The entrance to Martin Place underground railway station is virtually on the front doorstep, and directly opposite in Martin Place is the headquarters of the Reserve Bank of Australia.

By Photographic Collection from Australia (Railway Station - Martin Place) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons.

Martin Place Railway Station under construction (1951). See below for image attribution.

Underground railway tunnels and the RBA vaults

“To assess the Reserve Bank of Australia site we needed to examine the underground vaults. There were armed guards present the whole time. The report had to be written on the site, and left on the site. The security around our inspection was extreme, of course, but it was no barrier to getting the assessment done,” Lee said.

Five busy railway tunnels extend beneath the eastern end of Martin Place. There are three City Circle tunnels, two Eastern Suburbs line tunnels, and also Martin Place station (1979). For OHS/WHS and public safety reasons, these subterranean areas were inspected in the middle of the night, when the trains were not running.

“We could access the active rail tunnels between midnight and 3am only,” said Lee. “I was accompanied by surveyors and rail protection officers. It was pitch black in the tunnels after-hours but with the lighting we carried I was able to examine the condition of the tunnels as needed and assess any cracks or defects if found.”

The abandoned tunnel almost no-one has seen

Radiating from St James Railway Station are several railway tunnels which have never had a train pass through them. Built in the 1920s, the onset of the Great Depression and then WWII meant these tunnels were never connected to the main lines. The tunnel structures are so solid they were used as mass bomb shelters during WWII. The army’s attempts to blow up the tunnels after the war were unsuccessful and so they remain today, completely closed to the public, and almost never intruded upon.

One of these tunnels extends about 1 km from St James towards Martin Place. Lee Carroll was required to go underground and inspect this cavernous, abandoned stub of a tunnel on his own – taking a selfie (above right) as a memento of this rare and perhaps once-in-a-lifetime experience.

“We inspected the tunnel linings for cracking, spalling, leaking or any other kind of defects and prepared detail drawings showing their locations to enable comparison at future stages of the project,” Lee said. “It’s also a credit to the city that we encountered no rats.”

Sixty Martin Place (commercial)

The new building was designed by architects Hassell.

Condition report facilitates start of transformation

With the inventory of assets in the zone surrounding 60 Martin Place satisfactorily detailed and assessed in the Costin Roe Consulting condition report, the redevelopment by Investa Property and Gwynvill Group (the “owners”) would begin with demolition work starting in early 2016. Project completion is set for 2019.

The new development, named “Sixty Martin Place“, will offer more than 40,000m² of commercial and retail space at one of Sydney’s most desirable and accessible CBD locations. Supporting both Council’s Sustainable Sydney 2030 vision and the objectives of the Martin Place Owner’s Group, the owners’ aim is for the Sixty Martin Place building to achieve 6 Star Green Star/5 Star NABERS ratings for environmental efficiency.

[/su_carousel]

Image of Martin Place Railway Station by Photographic Collection from Australia (Railway Station – Martin Place)
[CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons.

Tree roots Opera Australia building

When the roots of street trees were suspected of causing damage to a building at Alexandria occupied by Opera Australia, the City of Sydney commissioned Costin Roe Consulting to investigate and report.

Like most suburbs of inner Sydney, Alexandria showcases streets lined with trees of considerable size and age. The narrowness of inner-Sydney streets will often mean that trees, only small when first planted, have reached maturity within close proximity to residential buildings and commercial properties.

Tree roots Opera Australia building

Large street trees grow in close proximity to the Opera Australia building in Alexandria, Sydney. The encroachment of tree roots is a common problem in densely built inner-city areas.

The City of Sydney values the trees on Sydney’s public and private land as public assets. The city’s Urban Forest Plan 2013 commits to a sustainable Sydney by 2030 and ongoing improvement in the diversity of the urban canopy. So, when trees become a problem for the built environment, remedial works must be undertaken with great sensitivity, and in close consultation with the City Of Sydney. Costin Roe Consulting are experts at devising remedial engineering solutions where commercial requirements and stakeholder interests need to be managed within the broader context of environmental preservation.

At 58-66 Euston Road, Alexandria, a commercial property occupied by Opera Australia, Costin Roe Consulting found that the roots of two large trees, growing in the street outside the building, had penetrated the ground beneath the basement floor slab.

Just below the front entrance to the building, the basement floor slab had lifted by approximately 100mm over an area of 8 metres x 3 metres. The investigation also revealed that tree roots were blocking an in-ground cast iron stormwater pipe connecting the building downpipe and the street gutter.

Remedial works recommended by Costin Roe Consulting included the removal and replacement of the affected concrete slab, tree root pruning, and the installation of a root barrier to prevent further root growth beneath the floor slabs in the basement car park. To clear the blocked stormwater pipe, tree root coring was recommended, or alternatively the replacement of the blocked section of pipe.

Tree roots Euston Rd Alexandria

Roots were blocking an in-ground stormwater pipe.

Tree roots lifting concrete slab

Two trees roots in excavation outside the storeroom wedged between two concrete slabs, lifting the top slab.

Freak storm

A large number of properties in the Huntingwood, Bungarribee, and Eastern Creek areas were damaged when a storm front swept through the western suburbs of Sydney on 25 April 2015 at about 3.30pm. Questions were raised as to why the storm had caused the collapse of at least eight warehouse structures. Many properties suffered significant damage associated with roof leakage and water penetration. Costin Roe Consulting was commissioned to evaluate the storm event and report on the likelihood of re-occurrence in the context of design standards for Australian buildings.

“Discovering the true nature of this Anzac Day 2015 storm in Western Sydney was a very interesting exercise in forensic engineering,” said Grant Roe, director of Costin Roe Consulting. “We were presented with numerous localised examples of warehouses which had collapsed. Similar types of buildings surrounding the collapses appeared to have been able to withstand the same storm event. It could have been assumed from preliminary circumstantial evidence that there may have been some major differences in the design or construction between affected and non-affected buildings. The role of forensic engineering is to determine, analyse, interpret, and explain all relevant facts so that the truth can be revealed.”

Forensic investigation by Costin Roe Consulting

Mark Wilson, BEng(Civil) BSurv ME CPEng, Associate Director (Civil Engineering), Costin Roe Consulting

The report ‘Extreme Storm Event – Huntingwood NSW 25 April 2015’ prepared by Mark Wilson, BEng(Civil) BSurv ME CPEng, Associate Director (Civil Engineering) of Costin Roe Consulting

“When any structural failure is examined, one of the more obvious lines of enquiry would be to determine if the structure had been compliant with relevant standards in the first place,” Grant Roe said. “Where both affected and non-affected buildings met or exceeded regulatory requirements, there had to be some deeper explanation for the seemingly randomised failure versus survival of similar structures in a localised area during the same storm. For this deeper line of enquiry we assigned Mark Wilson, BEng(Civil) BSurv ME CPEng, Associate Director of Costin Roe Consulting, to evaluate Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) data, as well as eyewitness reports, on-site observations and a range of imagery, to determine what had happened and if it could be expected to happen again.”

“The total repair bill arising from this storm would have been astronomical. A forensic engineering report is vital for building owners and insurers when it comes to understanding and managing risk to property. There was also a human imperative to determine the cause of damage on this occasion because if it had not been Anzac Day with most workers away on leave, there could have been much greater risk to safety as a result of storm activity at some of the affected sites,” said Grant.

Storm was a “freak”

The report by Costin Roe Consulting titled ‘Extreme Storm Event – Huntingwood NSW 25 April 2015’ detailed the astonishing peculiarities about the nature of the storm which moved eastwards across Sydney in the middle of last Anzac Day afternoon. “Our findings could have surprised anyone,” said Grant Roe. “This storm was a freak, in that it was a unique and extremely unusual event.”

“Mark Wilson’s research and analysis indicated that this particular type of extreme storm event was known to occur in parts of the northern hemisphere but not normally within Australia,” Grant said. “Some areas within this storm’s reach experienced only light to moderate rainfall. In other areas there were distinct zones of intense storm activity where the resulting structural damage could have been attributed initially to an unusually intense hail fall; or wind, rain and hail in combination.”

Primary cause of damage not wind or rain

Great Western Highway closed by excessive hail

Sections of the Great Western Highway were closed by an excessive accumulation of icy snow-like material (photograph © 2015 Taylor Constructions)

BOM data showed that wind pressure was not a key factor in the structural damage caused by the Anzac Day storm. According to report author Mark Wilson, the 30-40km per hour local wind gusts represented a small fraction of the wind pressure tolerance provided by modern building design. Rain was also dismissed as a primary contributor to structural damage. “At nearby automatic weather stations the rainfall was recorded at no more than 20-30mm per hour over about 60-90 minutes of localised storm activity. Just as we had discovered with our evaluation of local wind data, the rainfall component of this storm was relatively light. The heavier episode of rainfall occurred after the hail fall which in itself lasted for about 10-15 minutes. Automatic weather stations nearest to the affected areas were not equipped to measure hail or snow, however,” said Grant Roe.

“It was widely known from news bulletins and social media posts that the Great Western Highway, M4, and other roadways in the area were partly blocked by hail which was 300-500mm deep at some locations. Yet within a short distance either side of these locations, we found that the hail accumulation had been negligible,” Grant said. “This radicalised pattern of intense hail fall was unlike anything commonly seen in Australia. Further forensic investigation was warranted.”

BOM data shows intense storm activity around Huntingwood in Western Sydney

BOM radar images show the heaviest rating for precipitation intensity (darkest red) around Huntingwood in Western Sydney at 3.24pm on 25 April 2015 (image © 2015 Australian Bureau of Meterology)

Satellite imagery suggested that some of the warehouse buildings in the Huntingwood and Eastern Creek areas were subjected to hail precipitation which could have equated to about 300mm per hour in rainfall had local automatic weather stations been fitted with heating devices to allow accurate gauging of icy precipitation. “To contextualise the equivalent of 300mm per hour in rain precipitation, based on all recorded meteorological data, the worst-case prediction for this area was an extreme rainfall event of 220mm per hour to occur no more often than once in any 100 year period,” said Grant. “The 300mm equivalent precipitation surmised to have occurred on 25th April 2015 was an event expected to occur in this area only once in every 10,000 or more years. As Mark Wilson was bringing to light more detailed meteorological evidence and evaluating the implications, gradually the phenomenal nature of this particular storm event was being defined and confirmed.”

“…an event expected to occur in this area only once in every 10,000 or more years.” – Grant Roe

Load tolerances exceeded by snow

“Another very unusual aspect of the Anzac Day storm was that the activity described as an intense hail fall predominantly consisted of an icy firm snow,” Grant Roe said. “The accumulated material would have been denser in composition than the hailstone formations typically seen in storms around Sydney. Some buildings examined during our investigations would have had roof areas covered by heavy snow-like material to a depth of anything up to half a metre. The weight of such thick, dense coverage on some of the roofs would have been up to 7-10 times greater than the maximum load-bearing capacity required by current standards. Any typical Australian building if subjected to such extreme stress would almost certainly sustain significant structural damage.”

Hail swaths of destruction

Grant Roe, BE (Hons) MEngSc MBA MIEAust CPEng NPER, director, Costin Roe Consulting

“…on Anzac Day 2015, whether a warehouse had collapsed… came down to luck or the lack of it…” Grant Roe, BE (Hons) MEngSc MBA MIEAust CPEng, NER Director of Costin Roe Consulting

“The rare nature of this type of storm event meant that the icy firm snow material fell very heavily within narrow bands of extreme weather intensity called hail swaths,” Grant Roe said. “Between the hail swaths, storm activity would have been milder. This meteorological phenomenon explained how very dense debris had accumulated up to half a metre deep on the surface of one collapsed section of warehouse roofing, for example, or one collapsed warehouse roof, while at the same time other sections of roofing and roofs on nearby buildings had received much more moderate loads.”

“If this highly unusual hail swath activity had climaxed over a predominantly residential area in Sydney, the pattern of destruction could have appeared more widespread because the storm would have impacted a greater number of individual properties,” said Grant. “We identified two distinct hail swaths passing over the Huntingwood and Eastern Creek districts during the Anzac Day storm event. Given the more catastrophic damage to at least eight warehouses in these industrial areas where the roof of one major warehouse could hypothetically cover a small neighbourhood, any of the buildings in the affected zone could have received an excessive load of dense material dumped by one of the hail swaths, or been spared from the most seriously damaging effects,” Grant said.

“In this particular instance on Anzac Day 2015, whether a warehouse had collapsed or remained fundamentally intact after the storm, it really came down to luck or the lack of it,” Grant said.

Future-proofing against extreme weather

“The extreme weather occurrence at Huntingwood and Eastern Creek on 25th April 2015 was almost entirely unprecedented in Australia. Statistically speaking, it would be reasonable to predict that such an event may never happen in this same area again,” said Grant Roe. “However, considering that the forces of nature can evolve over the ages, there can be no infinite guarantee.”

“Australian Standards allow ample protection against extremes of weather and other impacts that we could reasonably expect a building to withstand over its lifetime, in the context of its specific location and approved purpose,” Grant said.

“…freak weather… can occasionally wreak havoc upon built environments.” – Grant Roe

“All over the world, it has always been a fact of life that freak weather and other unpredictable and unmanageable events can occasionally wreak havoc upon built environments. We can only continue to learn about such events, and improve our responses.”


Video of the Anzac Day 2015 storm made at various locations around Western Sydney by ‘storm chasers’ (amateur weather-watchers) as published on www.extremestorms.com.au. Official data sources, videos, photographs, news reports, and eye-witness accounts were included in the broad range of holistic evidence analysed by Costin Roe Consulting.

  • 1
  • 2
Loading...